Orangeconomy
Trump Announces 90-Day Tariff Pause, Excludes China
President Donald Trump announced a 90-day pause in new tariffs yesterday while significantly increasing duties on Chinese imports, marking a strategic shift in his trade policy approach.
In a post on his Truth Social platform, Trump stated he had authorized a "90-day pause and substantially reduced reciprocal tariffs during this period, at 10 percent, also effective immediately." However, he simultaneously announced he would increase tariffs on China to 125 percent, effective immediately, citing "the lack of respect China has shown to world markets."
The move comes after prominent hedge fund manager Bill Ackman urged Trump to implement a 90-day tariff pause, arguing the president could "achieve his goals without destroying small businesses in the short term."
This strategy mirrors Trump's real estate negotiation tactics - making bold initial demands, gauging reactions, then adjusting before finalizing deals. However, analysts note reaching compromise with China may prove more difficult than with the more accommodating European Union.
As trade tensions escalate, prospects for both a US-China trade deal and high-level negotiations appear increasingly uncertain. The economic conflict shows signs of intensifying, with both nations exchanging increasingly severe tariff measures.
Bitcoin traders target $90K as apparent tariff exemptions ease US Treasury yields
Bitcoin bulls predict a rally to $90,000 if Treasury yields continue to fall alongside the Trump administration's adjustments to its current tariff policy.
The 2-year and 10-year US Treasury yields dipped on Monday, April 14, after Bitcoin (BTC $85,170) closed its best weekly performance since the second week of January. Bitcoin gained 6.79% over the past week, but are enough factors aligned to support continued price upside?
The 10-year treasury yield declined by 8.2 basis points to 4.40% during the New York trading session, while the 2-year treasury saw an 8 basis point slip to 3.88%. The drop in yields occurred on the back of possible tariff exemptions on smartphones, computers, and semiconductors, which were introduced to give US companies time to move production domestically.
President Trump says CBS and '60 Minutes' should 'pay a big price' for going after him
President Donald Trump bitterly attacked "60 Minutes" shortly after the CBS newsmagazine broadcast stories on Ukraine and Greenland on Sunday, saying the network was out of control and should "pay a big price" for going after him.
"Almost every week, 60 Minutes ... mentions the name 'TRUMP' in a derogatory and defamatory way, but this Weekend's 'BROADCAST' tops them all," the president said on his Truth Social platform.
Bitcoin price hurdles present at $88K to $90K
Trading resource Material Indicators noted that Bitcoin retained a bullish position above its 50-weekly moving average and quarterly open at $82,500. A strong weekly close implied a higher possibility that Bitcoin is less likely to re-visit its previous weekly lows anytime soon.
Second US-Iran meeting will likely be in Rome, source says
After President Donald Trump confirmed today that US and Iranian negotiators will sit down for the second time in a week on Saturday, a person familiar with the planning told CNN that the meeting will likely be in Rome, but it's not fully nailed down.
Continued on next pages...
Global Markets in Turmoil
World stocks tumbled as trade war fears intensified. The Dow Jones fell 572 points (2.3%) while European markets dropped 3% on average. "This is the most significant market disruption since the 2020 pandemic," warned Goldman Sachs analyst Rebecca Patterson.

Commodity markets saw wild swings: soybeans hit 10-year lows while steel prices surged 18%. The volatility index VIX spiked to its highest level in 15 months.
Political Fallout
12 Republican senators privately expressed concerns to White House officials. "This could cost us the Midwest in 2024," warned one senior GOP strategist.
Democrats seized the opportunity, with Senator Elizabeth Warren calling the tariffs "economic malpractice."
International Reactions
EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen announced $7 billion in retaliatory tariffs targeting bourbon, motorcycles and orange juice.
China's Commerce Ministry promised "necessary countermeasures" while Canada pledged support for affected industries.
Industry Impact Analysis
Automotive: Ford announced delays in electric vehicle production due to expected steel price increases. Shares fell 6%.
Agriculture: Iowa farmers reported canceled soybean orders from China. "This could bankrupt us," said fourth-generation farmer Jim Peterson.
Technology: Apple warned of potential iPhone price increases if China restricts rare earth metal exports.
Energy: LNG exports to Asia face new hurdles as trade tensions escalate.

Historical Perspective
The 2002 Bush steel tariffs offer cautionary lessons:
- 200,000 manufacturing jobs lost
- $40 billion in lost exports
- Repealed after 18 months
"The parallels are concerning," noted Brookings Institution trade expert David Wessel.
White House Response
Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross dismissed concerns: "Short-term pain for long-term gain." Peter Navarro called critics "globalists who hate American workers."
By the Numbers
25% proposed tariff rate on $300B imports
42% of Americans initially support tariffs
68% worry about trade war consequences
State Impact
Ohio: 8,000 auto jobs at risk
Texas: Energy exports threatened
California: Tech sector nervous
Iowa: Farmers panic over China
What's Next
• June G7 summit showdown
• WTO complaint process
• Congressional hearings
• Midterm election impact